27 March 2026

February 2025 Review

With consumer spending declining and OFGEM raising their price cap, you would be forgiven for seeing February as a month where negative news was at the forefront, but in the energy markets, this was not the case. 


In the day ahead market, gas prices started the month at 134.5p/therm, peaking at 145.5p/therm on February 10th. However, they would end the month at 109.7p/therm, representing a 18.44% drop from the start of the month. These drops were seen across multiple markets with electricity for Summer’25 dropping 14.36% and gas prices dropping by 15.89% for the same period. The difference between the monthly high for Summer’25 Electricity (£107/MWh) and the monthly low (£82.23/MWh) is almost £25/MWh, which, for a business that consumes 5GW during the Summer, would equate to a difference of over £120,000.

This highlights the importance of timing when to arrange your future energy contracts and ensuring you are on the best tariff for your business. If you require any advice regarding how to get the best deal on your energy contracts, contact us at info@seemoreenergy.co.uk for free advice from experts with decades of experience in the UK energy markets.


January ended with fears surrounding European gas reserve levels and the impact mandated purchases would have on global gas markets. Some reprieve was offered in the form of above normal temperatures being forecast for February. Warm winds from the North Atlantic would bring drier and milder-than-usual weather for this time of the year, lowering the expected consumption for the month.


While the weather was a welcome short-term boost, numerous EU nations were pushing back on the mandated gas reserve levels which would inevitably force EU nations into bidding wars and raise the wholesale gas prices.

A group of nations, including Austria, France, Germany and the Czech Republic, requested that the gas reserve targets be relaxed. The rules, which require all EU nations have gas reserves at 90% of capacity by November 1st, are set to expire at the end of 2025, however, the European Commission have said they would like to extend the mandate.


After energy prices had steadily risen at the start of February, prices would drastically fall from the 12th. This was a result of the US beginning talks with Russia regarding the cessation of hostilities with Ukraine. Previously the US had been providing significant funds to Ukraine, allowing for a prolonged conflict. The prospect of a peace deal being achieved was enough to cause energy prices to fall. If peace could be achieved, it would seem highly likely that Russian gas could once again be sold to Europe and European nations would have an alternative to LNG shipments. 


This combination of EU demand potentially being lowered, and a possible large increase to the available gas supply led wholesale prices to drop almost 30% between the 12th and the 25th. However, OFGEM announced that the domestic price cap was set to rise by 6.4% in April, directly impacting households on variable tariffs and highlighting that there is still a negative sentiment within the energy industry.



Outlook

The energy markets look set to remain volatile in the short-term. Friday’s controversial encounter between Trump and Zelenskyy has only added to the uncertainty around any potential peace deal for Russia and Ukraine. If a cease fire could be agreed, then it seems highly probable that we will see further price decreases, but should we see the end of peace-talks, it seems almost certain that prices will quickly rise.


The European Commission has shown a willingness to be flexible in terms of intermediate gas reserve targets after the previously mentioned pushback. Further announcements, with concrete targets, are expected before the end of March. The levels of leniency shown by the commission will likely have a direct impact upon the wholesale prices.


With UK energy prices being kept high by a reliance on LNG, it seems as though there is now a renewed focus on moving away from Natural Gas. While renewables have not had the impact many had initially anticipated, nuclear energy remains the most reliable way of producing cheap, low-carbon energy. The government have indicated they are looking at smaller modular reactors as the quickest way to reduce energy costs in order to achieve their targeted energy prices by 2030. Whilst it would be years before there is any impact from new reactors, it offers some hope that the energy issues of the past few years may not be set to repeat, and UK energy prices won’t remain at the mercy of geopolitical events.


If your business requires advice with its energy procurement, management, or planning, then don’t hesitate to contact Seemore Energy to speak to experienced advisors who can help you with bespoke strategies and advice that is tailored to your needs. 

by Craig Watson 27 March 2026
In a year that began with falling energy prices, there were recurring catalysts that led to prices climbing steadily higher. Geopolitical uncertainty and the perennial threat of escalating conflicts meant fear would maintain a constant presence in the wholesale markets. We will look back at the key energy stories from 2024, and how the energy markets are likely to shape up in 2025. Quarter 1  The year began with cautious optimism as the UK’s gas reserve levels were healthy and prices for the Summer’24 season were in freefall. In February, prices pulled back to their lowest levels since 2021, and for the first time in a while, we identified that there was greater potential for upside risk than for further downward price movement: “ there now (exists) an asymmetrical element of risk should the market encounter a supply-side problem of significance. ” During February we had advised customers on flexible contracts that this was an ideal time for making purchases. March would see prices begin to ascend again as international conflict would create problems with LNG imports, and we would highlight the geopolitical risks as an area for concern moving forwards: “ fears remain and there are potential negative catalysts that could lead to prices rising further, with the main factors to watch out for being based on geopolitical unrest. “ For a business that purchases their energy in advance, this quarter was the optimal time for purchasing during 2024. In February, electricity prices for Winter’25 were down to 7.75p/Kwh, and as low as 6.05p/Kwh for Summer’25. Winter’25 ended the year with prices above 11.1p/Kwh, with Summer’25 prices exceeding 9p/Kwh. For a company that uses 500,000Kwh of electricity per month, the difference between buying at the February low point compared to today’s prices would represent a yearly saving of over £200,000.
by Craig Watson 18 March 2026
Should I Use an Energy Broker/Partner? With energy markets becoming increasingly complex and volatile, many UK businesses are asking the same question: is it worth using an energy broker/ partner? While it’s possible to manage energy procurement and administration in-house, doing so effectively requires time, expertise, and constant market awareness. For many organisations, working with a specialist partner can unlock significant savings and remove a substantial administrative burden. Smarter Procurement and Market Timing One of the primary reasons businesses engage an energy broker is procurement . Securing a competitive contract is about far more than simply comparing prices at renewal. A competent energy broker will monitor wholesale markets daily, advise on the best time to contract, provide access to a wide range of suppliers and contract structures, and tailor strategies based on your budgetary needs. This dedicated market insight can help businesses avoid locking into contracts during market peaks and instead secure energy when conditions are more favourable. Invoice Validation: Are You Being Overcharged? Energy billing is notoriously complex, and errors are more common than many businesses realise. Without proper scrutiny, overcharges can go unnoticed for months or even years. A good energy partner will validate invoices against contract terms allowing them to identify incorrect charges or discrepancies. They will then contact your supplier to recover historical overpayments ensuring that you haven’t paid more than necessary and your team don’t have to use their time in dealing with suppliers. This ongoing oversight ensures you only ever pay what you should, not what you’re billed. Support with Suppliers, DNOs and Disputes Dealing with energy suppliers and network operators can be time-consuming and, at times, frustrating. Whether it’s billing disputes, contract queries, or technical issues, having expert support can make a significant difference. An experienced broker can act as a single point of contact for suppliers, liaise with Distribution Network Operators (DNOs) , and support escalations -- including cases taken to the Energy Ombudsman. This not only saves time, but by having a team familiar with supplier’s SLAs, it ensures that issues are handled efficiently and with the right level of expertise. Specialist Cost Reduction Knowledge Beyond procurement, there are a number of technical areas where businesses can reduce costs, many of which are often overlooked. These include: kVA capacity reviews to ensure you’re not overpaying for unused capacity TCR banding optimisation , which can significantly impact network charges Identifying opportunities to reduce consumption or shift usage patterns Without specialist knowledge, these areas are easy to miss, but -- with the right guidance -- they can deliver meaningful savings without any operational disruption. Is It the Right Choice for Your Business? For smaller businesses with limited time and resource, an energy broker can provide immediate value. For larger organisations with complex portfolios, the benefits are often even greater -- particularly when it comes to validation, optimisation, and strategic planning. By having experienced external support, a business can feel confident that their energy spend is being scrutinised and managed with the correct level of attention, without having to divert the focus of employees whose time could be better spent in other areas.  Take Control of Your Energy Strategy At SeeMore Energy, we work as a true partner to our clients. By combining market expertise, technical insight, and ongoing support, we help businesses reduce costs and stay in control of their energy strategy. From procurement and invoice validation to kVA reviews and dispute management, we ensure every aspect of your energy is working as efficiently as possible. If you’re unsure whether you’re getting the best deal -- or simply want peace of mind -- get in touch today. Our expert team will help you identify savings, reduce risk, and take control of your energy costs.
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